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cryptocurrency market analysis march 2025

Cryptocurrency market analysis march 2025

However, overall, a favorable turn in the broader environment (such as Fed rate cuts and balance sheet expansion) is still needed; and recent events such as the Ethereum Foundation selling tokens and core developers leaving have caused community dissatisfaction, coupled with the rise of competitors like Solana, may weaken the positive impact of the upgrade el royale casino 100 no deposit bonus codes. Although the testnet is progressing smoothly, if vulnerabilities or delays occur in the mainnet upgrade, it may trigger short-term selling pressure.

April 2025 crypto market outlook: Analysis of Fed policy, Trump tariffs, ETH Pectra upgrade, and inflation data. Will Bitcoin’s historical April strength prevail despite limited catalysts? Market projections through June.

US February non-farm payrolls added 151,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate slightly rising to 4.1%. After the data release, Bitcoin led the decline and hit new lows, mainly because there was a Fed interest rate meeting in March, which directly impacted the meeting, almost ensuring the Fed would not cut rates.

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best cryptocurrency to buy april 2025

Best cryptocurrency to buy april 2025

Another major green light to buy bitcoin is the halving cycle, which happens roughly every four years, with the last one in mid-April 2024. This means the supply of bitcoin will continue to decrease in the coming years and may send the price higher.

And if solana ends up being held by the U.S. government in its national crypto reserve, this could be one of the catalysts to skyrocket the coin’s value. Plus, the meme-coin heist that happened in mid-February that tanked solana’s value could open room for more serious projects in DeFi and growth segments like infrastructure for operating AI agents.

Like Tether, USD Coin (USDC) is a stablecoin, meaning it’s backed by U.S. dollars and aims for a 1 USD to 1 USDC ratio. USDC is powered by Ethereum, and you can use USD Coin to complete global transactions.

This international focus on individual users complements XRP’s enterprise strategy, while Stellar’s smaller market capitalization typically results in amplified price movements during broader sector trends.

Created by an XRP co-founder, Stellar operates with a similar technical architecture but focuses on broader financial inclusion rather than purely institutional implementation. Its key objectives include providing banking-like services to the approximately 1.4 billion adults globally without financial access.

Cryptocurrency market update april 2025

US February CPI data was: year-on-year increase of 2.8%, core CPI year-on-year increase of 3.1%, persistently higher than the Fed’s target level. If this data is higher than expected (e.g., core CPI ≥2.8%), it may trigger market concerns about “stagflation,” the crypto market may experience short-term selling, Bitcoin may test key support levels, even touching a new low of $76,000.

If it meets or is lower than expected (e.g., core CPI ≤2.6%), it may boost rate cut expectations, driving funds into the crypto market, Bitcoin may break through the $90,000 resistance level, even testing the $100,000 mark.

This time, the non-farm data release is still far from the next Fed interest rate meeting (May 6-7), so as long as the data doesn’t show significant anomalies, the impact on crypto market trends will be limited.

If foreign investors shift toward long-term securities, it indicates market risk appetite contraction, contrasting with the high-risk asset characteristics of the crypto world. The increasing probability of US economic “no landing” (i.e., high growth and high inflation coexisting) may lead to marginal tightening of US dollar liquidity, further suppressing crypto world fund inflows. Additionally, if US Treasury yields climb, it will enhance the attractiveness of traditional financial assets, reducing crypto funds and intensifying downside risks.

cryptocurrency market trends april 2025

US February CPI data was: year-on-year increase of 2.8%, core CPI year-on-year increase of 3.1%, persistently higher than the Fed’s target level. If this data is higher than expected (e.g., core CPI ≥2.8%), it may trigger market concerns about “stagflation,” the crypto market may experience short-term selling, Bitcoin may test key support levels, even touching a new low of $76,000.

If it meets or is lower than expected (e.g., core CPI ≤2.6%), it may boost rate cut expectations, driving funds into the crypto market, Bitcoin may break through the $90,000 resistance level, even testing the $100,000 mark.

Cryptocurrency market trends april 2025

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Whether it’s pessimistic or optimistic depends on key data and event nodes at that time, such as April 2 tariff details, which need clarity on the scope of taxation, rates, and exemption clauses. If the policy is “more bark than bite,” the market may quickly digest the negative news; and April PCE inflation data: if core PCE continues to be above 2.8%, it may strengthen the Fed’s hawkish stance, suppressing the crypto market; specific data to watch includes Bitcoin ETF fund flows, institutional fund movements (such as BlackRock’s continued buying/selling) are important indicators for measuring market confidence.

Altcoins such as Bitcoin Cash and Solana offer interesting contrasts. Bitcoin Cash’s rise might be driven by specific technological or community developments, while Solana’s resilience, despite the FTX collapse, suggests a strong underlying technology and community support that could signal longer-term viability despite short-term volatility.

The March Fed FOMC statement indicated that the Federal Reserve will begin slowing the pace of balance sheet reduction on April 1. The Fed will reduce the cap on Treasury securities redemptions from $25 billion/month to $5 billion/month, while maintaining the cap on MBS redemptions at $35 billion/month.

From the chart above, we can see that historically in April, Bitcoin has had more positive returns overall. Out of 12 years, the ratio of rises to falls is 8:4, indicating that upward trends have an absolute advantage. In the second year after the previous three halvings, i.e., 2013, 2017, and 2021, the rise-to-fall ratio was also 2:1. Overall, historical data shows that April is often a month of market sentiment adjustment and significant volatility for Bitcoin.

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